Sickness worsens (blogging bad beats LIVE)

18-seat tournament, round one. I call a tilty all-in from a short-stack with 500 chips, I have my starting stack of 1500. I have AT versus J3 offsuit. 65% favourite to move to a 2100 stack at opening blinds of 10/20.Flop gives me a ten. Turn and river make him a one card flush to his 3 of diamonds.

I get some chips back with AJs versus some rubbish from a reeally short-stack. Then I have JJ versus T8 on a 4583 board on the turn, get it all-in. 89% favourite versus five outs, to go 2600 chips at 15/30 blinds. River is one of the five outs.

Moments later, in my 27-seater tourney, I'm 63% favourite all-in on the turn with two pair. Win the hand and I go chip leader with 3600 chips at the 25/50 level. I lose the hand.

65%, 89%, 63%. I'm just asking to win one of them. Just to win one hand, as significant or overwhelming favourite, when significant chips are on the line.

It's official...

...I'm definitely running bad. It's only a small stretch, I'm still up for the month, but my ROI is getting eaten down to sub 30% for October thanks to a spectacular run of tourneys motoring toward the money then getting punked in a hand that would put me monster chip-leader, chip-leader, or among the top handful of stacks at the least.

The worst of these have been three-outers, where I'm 85% favourite or thereabouts, which is obviously monumentally frustrating and has happened three times in the past seven tournaments. Others have been the more standard 60% favourite type of thing, with some mind-boggling calls from my opponents factored into the irritation of these situations.

I have to keep on keeping on, obviously. This is the first remotely significant bad run I've had at these 18 and 27 seater sngs. Overall results are fantastic, overall ROI is crazy. I genuinely don't think this is a 'correction' of some kind. I've obviously taken bad beats throughout my very successful 'career' at these tourneys - the difference at present is that it keeps happening on pretty much the key hand of each game, the one that should pretty much see me sailing into the money if I win it. That really fucks me off. When it happens early, I can live with it quite easily; "At least I didn't spend long in that tourney, pull up another".

It's time to avoid a results focus and keep putting in my volume. The profits will come. End self-coaching session.